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Employment


Employment Module


Description


The FIELD model incorporates employment estimates transferred from Excel spreadsheets. Employment estimates and projections for 2000, 2015, and 2025 were obtained through the "Hillsborough County Estimates and Projections" report from the Hillsborough County City-County Planning Commission (April, 2004). Estimates and projections for the intervening years were interpolated in a manner similar to the methodology used for the population projections (see Population under Demand Base section).

The FIELD model uses the cumulative annual differences between the projected employment for the year 2027 and the 2007 employment estimates to determine the employment growth that the future land use plan must accommodate. The employment module uses annual emp (employment) change to calculate the annual employment change for each of the jurisdictions.

The initial employment variable represents the number of people employed in each of the jurisdictions in 2007 (base year for the model). The annual emp (employment) change variable is computed for each jurisdiction by subtracting the employment projected for the year 2027 from the employment in 2006 and then dividing by the number of years (20). This number is then added to the initial employment (for the year 2007) to obtain population projections for each year the simulation is run using the level, employment. Auxiliary, cumulative employment change stores the cumulative employment change for all the jurisdictions. The table in the employment projection module shows the initial employment (2007), annual change, employment (for the year 2007) and the cumulative change for each of the jurisdictions.

The employment projections represented in the table above can be broken down by sectors using the drop down menu shown above the table.

The graph below shows the cumulative employment change from the year 2007 to 2027. The cumulative employment change is shown numerically in the box above the graph. The jurisdiction for the graph can be selected from the drop-down menu on the top left side of the graph.

Employment Graph


Equations and Variables Used


  • Initial Employment (2007 employment for each jurisdiction)

  • Annual Employment Change (for each jurisdiction)

  • Employment (2027 employment for each jurisdiction)

  • Cumulative Employment Change = Employment - Initial Employment


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